Computer Simulation Doesn’t Paint A Rosy Picture For The Phillies

Originally posted on CBS Philly:

By Spike Eskin

PHILADELPHIA (CBS) – Spring Training is a time for hope in Major League Baseball. The Phillies haven’t lost a game that counts, and every “if” you can imagine is a half-full glass.

Michael Young may have that bounce back season, Roy Halladay will age gracefully, Chase Utley will stay healthy and Ryan Howard will return to MVP form. All of those things seem not only possible, but likely if you look at the brighter side of things.

The computer however, sees no such bright side.

Prediction Machine ran 50,000 computer simulations of the 2013 Major League Baseball season, and they didn’t paint a pretty picture for the Phillies.

The average of the simulations predicts that the Phillies will win 81 games for the second straight year, finishing in third place in the National League East. The Washington Nationals won an average of 92.5 games, coming in first…

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